Mapping: FESTOS - Foresight of evolving security threats posed by emerging technologies

FESTOS aims to identify and assess evolving security threats posed by abuse of emerging technologies and new S&T knowledge, and to propose means to reduce their likelihood. While almost all such knowledge can in principle be abused, this should not hinder the free generation and exchange of knowledge a our society. As the pace of science-based development accelerates, there is a pressing need for continual scanning of the unfolding technology landscape for potential security threats. Looking ahead to 2030, the foresight study will identify and assess security threats that could stem from future technologies such as Robotics, Cognition, New Materials, Nano and Biotechnologies. FESTOS will stimulate an "out of the box" anticipatory thinking and construct threat scenarios by analysing the impact of the identified threats on the background of envisioned security climates (societal context of security issues).The threat scenarios will be evaluated in terms of their levels of impact and uncertainty. In conjunction with each scenarios critical early-warning indicators will be identified. Societal issues will be discussed, as well as the controversial issue of controlled dissemination of scientific knowledge in the context of necessary trade-offs between security and the freedom of research and knowledge. Policy recommendations will aim at novel means of preparedness.

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Annexe 1.20: Anticipating Futures (6/7)

Pathways and Roadmaps

Q1: Did the study anticipate Pathways or Roadmaps?

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