Mapping: EPIWORK

For the first time, ICT and computation enable the study of epidemic in a comprehensive fashion that addresses the complexity inherent to the biological, social and behavioural aspects of health related problems. The EPIWORK project proposes a multidisciplinary research effort aimed at developing the appropriate framework of tools and knowledge needed for the design of epidemic forecast infrastructures. The research considers most of the much needed development of modelling, computational and ICT tools such as i) the foundation and development of the mathematical and computational methods needed to achieve prediction and predictability of disease spreading in complex social systems; ii) the development of large scale, data driven computational models endowed with a high level of realism and aimed at epidemic scenario forecast; iii) the design and implementation of original data-collection schemes motivated by identified modelling needs, such as the collection of real-time disease incidence, through innovative web and ICT applications. v) the set up of a computational platform for epidemic research and data sharing that will generate important synergies between research communities and countries.

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Annexe 1.2: Scoping Futures (2/7)

Rationales and Background

Q1: Use 1 to 5 stars (*****) to indicate how the following FORESIGHTING rationales best relate to the study?

FORESIGHT Rationale Relevance
Forecasting TEEPSE events/developments
Orienting policy and strategy development
Recognising drivers/impacts of TEEPSE changes
Engaging key stakeholders and decision-shapers
Supporting STI priority-setting and governance
Identifying key/emerging TEEPSE issues
Generating (shared) visions and scenarios
Harmonising (STI) supply and demand needs
Transforming/absorbing capacities and methodology
Identifying risks, grand challenges and opportunities
Networking and international cooperation
Generating bridges between science and policy
* = none/very low
** = low
*** = moderate
**** = high
***** = very high
TEEPSE = technological, economic, environmental, political, social, ethical
STI = science, technology and innovation

Q2a: What background events can be related the study? Please indicate up to 5 events that led to the study

Background event related to the study Indicate the type of event
current threats of pandemic influenza, HIV and XDR tuberculosis, and recent threats such as SARS and the release of bioterrorist agents
Mathematical models have become important tools in analyzing the spread and control of these threats and assist decision makers in taking proper prevention and containment/mitigation measures
a tremendous progress in data gathering, development of new informatics tools, and increase in computational power

Q2b: What background documents/initiative can be related to the study

Background document/initiative Type Use in the project
Initiative To inform it
Initiative To inform it
Initiative To inform it

Initiative To inform it
Initiative To inform it

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